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    <title>Melmac AI Blog</title>
    <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/</link>
    <description>Stop burning tokens on dead ends</description>
    
    <item>
        <title>LLM Evals: The Complete Guide to What They Measure (and What They Miss)</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/llm-evals-complete-guide.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/llm-evals-complete-guide.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Hub page: define evals, cover the major eval types, and be honest about what a passing score does and doesn't guarantee in production.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>What Is an LLM Eval, Really?</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/what-is-an-llm-eval.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/what-is-an-llm-eval.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Plain-language definition of an LLM eval, what it scores, and who typically runs one.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Why a 95% Eval Score Doesn't Mean 95% Reliability</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/eval-score-vs-reliability.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/eval-score-vs-reliability.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Explain the gap between an aggregate eval score and real-world per-run reliability.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>The Limits of Static Benchmarks for Production Agents</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/static-benchmarks-limitations.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/static-benchmarks-limitations.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Why a fixed benchmark suite stops reflecting a live agent's real failure modes.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Eval Drift: Why Yesterday's Passing Score Fails Today</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/eval-drift.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/eval-drift.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Explain drift — model updates, prompt changes, and data shift silently invalidating an old eval result.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>How Often Should You Re-Run Evals on a Production Agent?</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/how-often-to-re-eval.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/how-often-to-re-eval.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Practical cadence guidance tied to how often the model, prompt, or task distribution changes.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Classifiers for Model Behavior: A Practical Guide</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/model-behavior-classifiers-guide.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/model-behavior-classifiers-guide.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Hub page: what a run classifier is, what signals it reads, and where it fits relative to evals and routers.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>How to Predict a Model Run's Outcome From Its First 50 Tokens</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/predict-run-outcome-first-50-tokens.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/predict-run-outcome-first-50-tokens.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>The mechanics of early-run outcome prediction and why the opening tokens carry more signal than they seem to.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Logprob, Entropy, Margin: The Signals a Classifier Actually Reads</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/logprob-entropy-margin-signals.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/logprob-entropy-margin-signals.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>A concrete walkthrough of the low-level signals (logprob, entropy, margin) that feed a behavior classifier.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Early-Stopping Signals for Long-Running Agents</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/early-stopping-signals-for-agents.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/early-stopping-signals-for-agents.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>What signals justify stopping a long agent run before it completes, and how to avoid stopping too early.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Why Model Confidence Scores Alone Aren't Enough to Trust</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/confidence-scores-are-not-enough.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/confidence-scores-are-not-enough.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Explain miscalibration — why a model's stated confidence doesn't track its actual correctness rate.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Build vs. Buy: Should You Train Your Own Run Classifier?</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/building-a-classifier-vs-buying-one.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/building-a-classifier-vs-buying-one.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Decision framework for building an in-house classifier vs. using a pre-built one.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Cost-Aware Model Routing, Explained</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/model-routing-guide.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/model-routing-guide.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Hub page: what model routing is, the routing signals available, and how it differs from static model selection.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>When to Route Down to a Cheaper Model Mid-Run</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/when-to-route-down-mid-run.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/when-to-route-down-mid-run.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>The conditions under which switching to a cheaper model mid-task preserves the outcome.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Model Routing vs. Model Selection: What's the Difference?</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/model-routing-vs-model-selection.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/model-routing-vs-model-selection.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Distinguish a one-time model choice from a dynamic, per-run routing decision.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>The Latency Cost of Routing Decisions (and How to Hide It)</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/routing-latency-tradeoffs.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/routing-latency-tradeoffs.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Where routing adds latency and practical patterns for keeping that overhead invisible to the end user.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Multi-Model Fallback Strategies for Production AI</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/multi-model-fallback-strategies.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/multi-model-fallback-strategies.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Patterns for falling back across models/providers when one stalls, errors, or times out.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Routing by Task Difficulty Instead of Task Type</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/routing-by-task-difficulty.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/routing-by-task-difficulty.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Why difficulty-aware routing outperforms fixed rules based on task category alone.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>What an Agent Harness Actually Controls</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/agent-harness-guide.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/agent-harness-guide.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Hub page: define the agent harness/controller layer and what decisions live there vs. in the model itself.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Kill Switches for Runaway Agent Loops</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/kill-switches-runaway-agent-loops.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/kill-switches-runaway-agent-loops.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Practical patterns for detecting and terminating an agent stuck in a non-productive loop.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Agent Harness vs. Orchestration Framework: Where's the Line?</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/agent-harness-vs-orchestration-framework.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/agent-harness-vs-orchestration-framework.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Clarify the boundary between a harness (control/decisions) and an orchestration framework (workflow wiring).</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Setting Per-Run Budget Caps Without Breaking the Task</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/budget-caps-per-agent-run.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/budget-caps-per-agent-run.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>How to set spend caps per agent run that protect budget without prematurely cutting off legitimate work.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>What to Log at the Controller Layer (and What's Noise)</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/observability-for-agent-controllers.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/observability-for-agent-controllers.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>A practical list of what's worth logging at the controller layer to debug agent behavior later.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>When a Kill Decision Should Go to a Human, Not the Controller</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/human-in-the-loop-kill-decisions.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/human-in-the-loop-kill-decisions.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Where automated kill decisions are safe and where a human should be in the loop instead.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Where Enterprise AI Budgets Actually Go</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/enterprise-ai-spend-guide.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/enterprise-ai-spend-guide.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Hub page: break down where enterprise AI spend concentrates and why so much of it is structurally wasted.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>The Cost of Letting a Dead-End Run Finish</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/cost-of-dead-end-runs.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/cost-of-dead-end-runs.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Quantify what it costs, in tokens and time, to let a run that's already failed keep executing.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Token Spend per Employee: What's Normal in 2026?</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/token-cost-per-employee-benchmark.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/token-cost-per-employee-benchmark.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Contextualize per-employee AI spend across adoption tiers, from heaviest spenders to the median enterprise.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>The Hidden Cost of Agent Retries Nobody Budgets For</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/hidden-costs-of-agent-retries.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/hidden-costs-of-agent-retries.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>Why retries compound cost faster than teams expect, and how to budget for them honestly.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>How to Actually Measure ROI on Agent API Spend</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/measuring-roi-on-agent-spend.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/measuring-roi-on-agent-spend.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>A concrete framework for tying agent spend to outcomes instead of just tracking token counts.</description>
    </item>
    <item>
        <title>Why Top-Tier AI Spenders Waste the Same 67% as Everyone Else</title>
        <link>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/faang-vs-median-ai-spend.html</link>
        <guid>https://melmacsupply.com/blog/faang-vs-median-ai-spend.html</guid>
        <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        <description>The structural, not scale-related, nature of AI spend waste — it shows up at every adoption tier.</description>
    </item>
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